Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends
A reproducible transformation of IRCC’s official Express Entry invited-candidate dataset, organized by intended province or territory and the source field called “Invitation Category.”
Research by: Usman Khalil, RCIC R709592 | CPA Ontario C83028834.
Source last modified: 15 September 2026. Coverage: through 31 July 2026. Source rechecked: 3 October 2026. Publication QA: 30 September 2026.
2026 is YTD through July 31, 2026 and must not be read as a completed-year total.
What this dataset tracks
The source reports invited Express Entry candidates by intended province or territory and invitation category. IRCC suppresses values from 0 to 5 as “–” and rounds all other published values to the nearest multiple of 5. This observatory never imputes suppressed cells and never manufactures a zero where a category row is absent.
For the broader source-linked immigration data hub, see MAK’s Immigration Data Observatory.
Government of Canada dataset record · Exact IRCC resource
2026 YTD snapshot
These are sums of IRCC’s published rounded cells through July 31, 2026, not exact unrounded ITA counts. The 2026 source rows in this build contain no suppressed “–” cells.
2026 YTD by intended province or territory
| Intended destination | Published rounded-cell sum | Suppressed cells |
|---|---|---|
| Ontario | 45,850 | 0 |
| British Columbia | 10,665 | 0 |
| Alberta | 7,340 | 0 |
| New Brunswick | 2,900 | 0 |
| Manitoba | 2,660 | 0 |
| Nova Scotia | 1,390 | 0 |
| Saskatchewan | 745 | 0 |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 295 | 0 |
| Prince Edward Island | 245 | 0 |
| Yukon | 125 | 0 |
| Northwest Territories | 75 | 0 |
| Nunavut | 55 | 0 |
Annual invitation-category summary, 2015–2026 YTD
Each cell is the sum of disclosed numeric source cells. “supp.” means one or more underlying cells were suppressed by IRCC, so the displayed numeric sum is a published-known lower bound. An em dash means that category was not present in the source for that year; it is not a manufactured zero.
| Year | CEC | FST | FSW | PNP | Not Stated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 8,045 (1 supp.) | 1,845 (2 supp.) | 8,665 (2 supp.) | 2,980 (1 supp.) | — |
| 2016 | 10,320 (2 supp.) | 1,305 (4 supp.) | 6,970 (1 supp.) | 7,130 (1 supp.) | — |
| 2017 | 29,220 (1 supp.) | 340 (5 supp.) | 29,090 (2 supp.) | 9,095 | — |
| 2018 | 25,070 (1 supp.) | 300 (5 supp.) | 36,225 (1 supp.) | 10,130 | — |
| 2019 | 25,635 | 115 (2 supp.) | 32,655 (2 supp.) | 13,225 | — |
| 2020 | 44,670 | 195 (1 supp.) | 22,155 (2 supp.) | 14,130 | — |
| 2021 | 85,760 (1 supp.) | — | 8,650 (2 supp.) | 13,685 | 0 published + 1 suppressed cell |
| 2022 | 12,970 (1 supp.) | — | 5,200 (2 supp.) | 19,150 | — |
| 2023 | 41,455 | 0 published + 1 suppressed cell | 21,710 (2 supp.) | 22,580 | — |
| 2024 | 43,870 | 0 published + 2 suppressed cells | 21,040 | 25,095 | — |
| 2025 | 35,190 | — | 29,165 | 10,195 | — |
| 2026 YTD through Jul 31 | 41,650 | — | 24,620 | 6,075 | — |
Publisher Data Pack: reusable figures and source tables
These figures are derived only from the verified R03 source transformation. Each has a stable figure ID, downloadable SVG and source-data CSV, a plain-language attribution line and the same suppression/rounding controls as the underlying observatory.
R03-F01 · Annual invited-candidate trend by program
Stable figure ID: r03-f01-program-trend · Source: IRCC / Government of Canada Open Government · Coverage through 31 July 2026
CEC, FSW and PNP published-known annual sums. Federal Skilled Trades remains in the downloadable figure data but is omitted from the plotted series because its scale and suppressed/absent rows would make the main chart less readable. The underlying table identifies suppressed-cell counts; every affected annual sum is a published-known lower bound.
Suggested attribution: MAK Canadian Immigration Services, R03-F01 · Annual invited-candidate trend by program, from “Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends,” version 2026-09-26, source: IRCC Open Government, coverage through 31 July 2026. https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/#r03-f01-program-trend
View the underlying figure data
| Year | CEC published-known sum | CEC suppressed cells | FSW published-known sum | FSW suppressed cells | PNP published-known sum | PNP suppressed cells | FST published-known sum | FST suppressed cells |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 8045 | 1 | 8665 | 2 | 2980 | 1 | 1845 | 2 |
| 2016 | 10320 | 2 | 6970 | 1 | 7130 | 1 | 1305 | 4 |
| 2017 | 29220 | 1 | 29090 | 2 | 9095 | 0 | 340 | 5 |
| 2018 | 25070 | 1 | 36225 | 1 | 10130 | 0 | 300 | 5 |
| 2019 | 25635 | 0 | 32655 | 2 | 13225 | 0 | 115 | 2 |
| 2020 | 44670 | 0 | 22155 | 2 | 14130 | 0 | 195 | 1 |
| 2021 | 85760 | 1 | 8650 | 2 | 13685 | 0 | ||
| 2022 | 12970 | 1 | 5200 | 2 | 19150 | 0 | ||
| 2023 | 41455 | 0 | 21710 | 2 | 22580 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 | 43870 | 0 | 21040 | 0 | 25095 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 | 35190 | 0 | 29165 | 0 | 10195 | 0 | ||
| 2026 | 41650 | 0 | 24620 | 0 | 6075 | 0 |
R03-F02 · 2026 YTD invited candidates by intended destination
Stable figure ID: r03-f02-province-2026 · Source: IRCC / Government of Canada Open Government · Coverage through 31 July 2026
All 12 destinations are shown. The 2026 source rows in this build contain no suppressed cells; values remain sums of rounded published cells rather than exact unrounded counts.
Suggested attribution: MAK Canadian Immigration Services, R03-F02 · 2026 YTD invited candidates by intended destination, from “Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends,” version 2026-09-26, source: IRCC Open Government, coverage through 31 July 2026. https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/#r03-f02-province-2026
View the underlying figure data
| Province/Territory | 2026 YTD published-known sum | Suppressed cells |
|---|---|---|
| Ontario | 45850 | 0 |
| British Columbia | 10665 | 0 |
| Alberta | 7340 | 0 |
| New Brunswick | 2900 | 0 |
| Manitoba | 2660 | 0 |
| Nova Scotia | 1390 | 0 |
| Saskatchewan | 745 | 0 |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 295 | 0 |
| Prince Edward Island | 245 | 0 |
| Yukon | 125 | 0 |
| Northwest Territories | 75 | 0 |
| Nunavut | 55 | 0 |
R03-F03 · 2026 YTD program mix for top six destinations
Stable figure ID: r03-f03-program-province-mix · Source: IRCC / Government of Canada Open Government · Coverage through 31 July 2026
Top six destinations are selected by their 2026 YTD published-known sum. The downloadable CSV contains all destinations, not only the six plotted.
Suggested attribution: MAK Canadian Immigration Services, R03-F03 · 2026 YTD program mix for top six destinations, from “Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends,” version 2026-09-26, source: IRCC Open Government, coverage through 31 July 2026. https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/#r03-f03-program-province-mix
View the underlying figure data
| Province/Territory | Canadian Experience Class | Federal Skilled Worker | Provincial Nominee Program |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ontario | 29005 | 15720 | 1125 |
| British Columbia | 8150 | 990 | 1525 |
| Alberta | 2670 | 3795 | 875 |
| New Brunswick | 405 | 2155 | 340 |
| Manitoba | 340 | 1050 | 1270 |
| Nova Scotia | 650 | 255 | 485 |
| Saskatchewan | 265 | 385 | 95 |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | 70 | 75 | 150 |
| Prince Edward Island | 45 | 70 | 130 |
| Yukon | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| Northwest Territories | 15 | 35 | 25 |
| Nunavut | 10 | 45 | 0 |
R03-F04 · Intended-destination trend for top five 2026 destinations
Stable figure ID: r03-f04-top-province-trend · Source: IRCC / Government of Canada Open Government · Coverage through 31 July 2026
The five plotted destinations are selected by their 2026 YTD published-known sum. 2026 is a partial-year value through July 31 and must not be compared as if it were a completed year. Historical points with suppressed cells are published-known lower bounds: Ontario 2021 and 2024, British Columbia 2023 and 2024, and Manitoba 2019.
Suggested attribution: MAK Canadian Immigration Services, R03-F04 · Intended-destination trend for top five 2026 destinations, from “Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends,” version 2026-09-26, source: IRCC Open Government, coverage through 31 July 2026. https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/#r03-f04-top-province-trend
View the underlying figure data
| Year | Ontario | British Columbia | Alberta | New Brunswick | Manitoba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 44070 | 14530 | 6960 | 715 | 1610 |
| 2020 | 50750 | 17350 | 6235 | 850 | 1500 |
| 2021 | 65320 | 24860 | 8235 | 1480 | 1930 |
| 2022 | 17930 | 7495 | 4655 | 950 | 2200 |
| 2023 | 51225 | 16280 | 8975 | 2155 | 2470 |
| 2024 | 57655 | 14895 | 7800 | 2825 | 3320 |
| 2025 | 46230 | 10820 | 8475 | 2990 | 2555 |
| 2026 | 45850 | 10665 | 7340 | 2900 | 2660 |
Publisher pack: Download ZIP (4 SVG figures + 4 CSV tables + README). Individual figure downloads remain available above.
Download the cleaned data and workbook
Cite this resource
Suggested citation: Usman Khalil, “Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends,” MAK Canadian Immigration Services, version 2026-09-26, updated 3 October 2026. https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/. Version DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23119703.
BibTeX / RIS
BibTeX
@dataset{khalil2026expressentryobservatory,
author = {Khalil, Usman},
title = {Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends},
publisher = {MAK Canadian Immigration Services},
year = {2026},
version = {2026-09-26},
url = {https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/},
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23119703},
note = {Source data: Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada / Government of Canada Open Government Portal}
}
RIS
TY - DATA AU - Khalil, Usman TI - Express Entry Invited Candidates Data Observatory: Program and Intended Province Trends PY - 2026 PB - MAK Canadian Immigration Services UR - https://makimmigration.ca/express-entry-invited-candidates-program-province/ DO - 10.5281/zenodo.23119703 Y2 - 2026/10/03 ER -
Methodology and interpretation controls
The workbook preserves the original bilingual source rows verbatim in Source_Raw. The cleaned dataset uses English labels, the raw published total, a numeric total only when the value is disclosed, and an explicit suppression flag. Derived summaries sum numeric disclosed cells only and count suppressed cells separately.
The IRCC resource uses a .csv extension but the retrieved official source is tab-delimited. The cleaned CSV is a MAK transformation and does not replace or alter the Government of Canada source.
Correction policy
If MAK identifies a factual, transcription or transformation error in this observatory or its downloadable files, the affected public file or page will be corrected and the change will be recorded in the change log below. Changes made by IRCC to the underlying source will be recorded as source updates rather than silently treated as MAK corrections. Suppressed values remain suppressed unless the official source itself changes.
Change log
4 October 2026: Publisher Data Pack added with four stable figure IDs, inline publication-grade SVG charts, direct SVG/CSV downloads, underlying figure tables, source/coverage controls and copy-ready attribution. Existing R03 source data and statistical claims were not changed.
3 October 2026: Open Government metadata rechecked; Date Modified and Record Modified remain 15 September 2026 and temporal coverage remains through 31 July 2026. Stable public CSV/XLSX distribution URLs, citation formats, Usman attribution, correction policy and Dataset metadata added; underlying research data and statistical claims unchanged.
30 September 2026: Open Government metadata rechecked: Date Modified and Record Modified remain 15 September 2026 and temporal coverage remains through 31 July 2026. Publication package QA completed; cleaned CSV and XLSX were verified against the retained DA-R03 source artifacts before publication.
29 September 2026: Open Government metadata rechecked. Record still shows Date Modified and Record Modified as 15 September 2026, so the 26 September artifact build remains current; canonical MAK resource published and publicly QA’d.
26 September 2026: Initial 471-row cleaned dataset and reproducible workbook created from the IRCC Province/Territory × Invitation Category resource.
Authority accounting: publication on MAK is DELIVERY. It is not recorded as an independent domain-authority gain unless an external organization independently cites, links to or adopts the resource.
